Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.039475 0.045933 0.052600 0.059961 0.067827 0.075949 0.084939
2025-11-09 0.029045 0.038305 0.048436 0.060173 0.073245 0.087223 0.103177
2025-11-16 0.020935 0.031368 0.043438 0.058025 0.074827 0.093280 0.114815
2025-11-23 0.015184 0.026053 0.039353 0.056059 0.075866 0.098102 0.124506
2025-11-30 0.012112 0.023481 0.038070 0.056964 0.079851 0.105950 0.137320
2025-12-07 0.009893 0.021631 0.037384 0.058335 0.084178 0.114022 0.150238
2025-12-14 0.008426 0.020581 0.037542 0.060602 0.089455 0.123106 0.164240
2025-12-21 0.006760 0.018922 0.036686 0.061430 0.092864 0.129902 0.175515
2025-12-28 0.006480 0.019439 0.038791 0.066049 0.100917 0.142186 0.193178
2026-01-04 0.004589 0.016831 0.036263 0.064444 0.101121 0.145023 0.199703
2026-01-11 0.003658 0.015744 0.035813 0.065504 0.104595 0.151728 0.210736
2026-01-18 0.002787 0.014543 0.035068 0.066081 0.107395 0.157574 0.220715
2026-01-25 0.002092 0.013576 0.034705 0.067290 0.111183 0.164858 0.232715
2026-02-01 0.001356 0.012187 0.033549 0.067339 0.113465 0.170322 0.242594
2026-02-08 0.000588 0.010033 0.030863 0.065034 0.112541 0.171737 0.247526
2026-02-15 0.000158 0.008195 0.028445 0.062942 0.111776 0.173256 0.252509
2026-02-22 0.000045 0.007549 0.028116 0.063902 0.115054 0.179806 0.263573
2026-03-01 0.000005 0.007114 0.028135 0.065358 0.118984 0.187165 0.275616
2026-03-08 NaN 0.007001 0.028777 0.067762 0.124201 0.196148 0.289646
2026-03-15 NaN 0.006450 0.028456 0.068639 0.127309 0.202448 0.300383
2026-03-22 NaN 0.007090 0.030681 0.073529 0.135947 0.215788 0.319769
2026-03-29 NaN 0.005856 0.028768 0.071830 0.135469 0.217500 0.324860
2026-04-05 NaN 0.005467 0.028647 0.072952 0.138873 0.224153 0.336018